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Results of retail sales survey for 4th Quarter of 2018


Information from the Statistics and Census Service (DSEC) indicated that value of retail sales for the fourth quarter of 2018 increased by 4.1% year-on-year to MOP19.87 billion and rose by 9.4% as compared with the revised figure (MOP18.15 billion) in the third quarter of 2018. Watches, Clocks & Jewellery accounted for 20.9% of the total value of retail sales, followed by Goods in Department Stores (16.3%), Adults’ Clothing (13.4%) and Leather Goods (12.4%).

Among the major retail activities, sales values of Automotive Fuels (+16.6%), Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles (+15.1%) and Goods in Department Stores (+12.5%) increased notably year-on-year in the fourth quarter, whereas Adults’ Clothing (-4.1%) and Motor Vehicles (-3.2%) recorded a decrease. After removing the effect of price changes, volume of retail sales rose by 2.3% year-on-year in the fourth quarter, with sales volumes of Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles (+14.9%) and Communication Equipment (+13.1%) showing significant growth; meanwhile, sales volumes of Adults’ Clothing (-6.3%) and Motor Vehicles (-5.4%) declined.

In comparison with the previous quarter, sales value of Communication Equipment soared by 113.1% and that of Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles increased by 21.5%; meanwhile, sales values of Automotive Fuels (-6.2%) and Goods in Supermarkets (-3.6%) recorded a decrease. Volume of retail sales for the fourth quarter grew by 8.1% quarter-to-quarter, of which volumes of Communication Equipment (+117.4%) and Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles (+21.9%) showed marked increase. On the other hand, sales volumes of Automotive Fuels (-6.0%) and Goods in Supermarkets (-3.7%) dropped quarter-to-quarter.

For the whole year of 2018, total value of retail sales rose by 15.9% year-on-year to MOP 76.80 billion, of which Watches, Clocks & Jewellery (MOP 16.16 billion), Goods in Department Stores (MOP 12.32 billion) and Adults' Clothing (MOP 10.14 billion) accounted for 21.0%, 16.0% and 13.2% respectively. Sales values of the major retail activities recorded year-on-year growth in 2018, with significant increase in Communication Equipment (+42.3%); in addition, growth was observed in sales values of Goods in Department Stores (+24.6%) and Leather Goods (+24.5%). Volume of retail sales in 2018 rose by 13.8% year-on-year, with notable increase in Communication Equipment (+48.5%), Leather Goods (+22.4%) and Goods in Department Stores (+19.5%).

In respect of retailers’ comments, 54.4% of the retailers expected the sales volume to remain steady year-on-year in the first quarter of 2019, 37.4% anticipated a decrease and 8.2% forecasted an increase. Meanwhile, 68.2% of the retailers expected the retail prices to stay stable year-on-year in the first quarter of 2019, 17.9% anticipated a decrease and 13.9% foresaw an increase. As compared with the fourth quarter of 2018, 44.5% of the retailers expected the business to slow down in the first quarter of 2019, 40.9% anticipated stable business performance and 14.6% predicted an improvement.



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